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The downside of Canada’s homebuilding boom to be felt in the coming years: report

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Photo: James Bombales

Think eroding home sales spell trouble for the future of Canadian real estate values? Just wait until a wave of new supply floods the market.

A dire warning from from Capital Economics in a new Canada Economics Update outlines how a homebuilding boom could tip the Canadian housing market from bad to worse. The UK-based economic research firm says tens of thousands of new homes are set to be completed soon in some of Canada’s most expensive markets and that this will exacerbate economic woes.

“While house prices weakness will be painful, the end of the construction boom will have even larger implications for economic growth,” writes Stephen Brown, a senior Canadian economist for Capital Economics.

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Brown is aware that by some metrics, Canada’s housing market appears poised for a soft landing. After all, new listings have fallen in tandem with sales, which seems to suggest that homeowners aren’t desperate to cash out.

“The problem, though, is that Canada has been undergoing a construction boom. As has been typical of historic real estate cycles around the world, new supply will reach the market just as demand is falling,” says Brown.

Of all homes completed in Metro Vancouver over the last six months, 7 percent remain unsold. For those who doubt the significance of that share, Brown notes that 40,000 homes are expected to be completed in the area within the next two years. At an unsold rate of 7 percent, that would put unsold units at a record high of 5,500.

While less than 1 percent of newly completed homes remained unsold in November, Capital Economics suggests this rate of absorption can’t be maintained. In fact, the number is largely reflective of market conditions two to three years ago, when these units would have been in the pre-construction phase. “In order to finance construction, condo developers typically sell as many of their units as possible before building begins,” Brown explains.

“New supply will undoubtedly put downward pressure on house prices,” he continues. This, notes Brown, should result in lower consumer spending levels.

“With energy investment also set to contract due to lower oil prices, we see GDP growth slowing sharply and expect the Bank of Canada to cut interest rates at the turn of this year,” writes Brown, doubling down on a previous Capital Economics prediction.

Some may find reason to be skeptical of the Capital Economics prediction. The firm regularly publishes predictions that are at odds with commentary from most market watchers.

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5 DIY Home Improvements for the COVID-19 Lockdown

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The global coronavirus pandemic has forced millions of people around the world, to spend more time in their homes this year than they have spent in a long time. As people sit around day after day within the confines of their home, it becomes easier to notice all the areas of the house that need some work. Fortunately, everyone can now afford the extra free time to do the home renovation project they’ve been putting off for years.

Due to the on-going global health crisis, you may not be able to hire any help for your home improvement project; this means that whatever new project you plan to do around the house, whether it’s repainting the home, or installing floor heating systems, you would have to do it yourself.

Here are some do-it-yourself that you may like to try out.

Upgrade to Smart Home Appliances

It’s 2020, what better year to embrace the future by installing a range of high-tech devices that make life extra easy. For instance, with a smart thermostat, your home’s heating and cooling system can go off on their own when not needed, keeping your electricity bills lower. Other appliances that you can make smart include your lighting, home security, music and more.

Clean out your Garage

Homeserve suggests a garage cleanout as a great home improvement project for this season because cleaning out your garage provides some fresh air, the heavy lifting provides some workout and you feel an enormous sense of accomplishment when it’s done.  What’s more, the day would be far spent by the time you’re done with this project. Cleaning out your garage would require you to sweep out any dirt or debris, and get rid of other useless items that may have been stored there for a long time.

Start a Repainting Project

There’s always room for a fresh coat of paint to make everywhere look more alive, so grab a paintbrush and add some extra character to your home. The good news is that you don’t even have to go out for the paint, you can have it shipped directly to your door. Southlandremodeling suggests that if you had 2019 palette or older in your home, now is the time to embrace the latest colour hues of 2020, that show off a more contemporary style and make your home look more sophisticated.

 Build a Patio

Now is the time where every family would enjoy having a paver patio or an outdoor deck, somewhere to sit and get some fresh air when you’re tired of being cooped up inside all day. First you have to ensure that your home has enough space for a patio and that you have enough skills to handle a hammer and other tools for simple construction.

Next you order your needed materials online and get started. There is a great sense of satisfaction that comes with being able to create an outdoor space that your family can enjoy while being stuck at home.

Install some floor heating systems

Installation of floor heating systems is one of the best home improvement projects that one can get. Many people prefer to hire professionals to do these kinds of installation but if you are up for it, it’s not impossible to do this on a DIY project and get a valuable addition to your home for about half the cost.

Finally

There is no reason to continue holding out on your dream DIY home renovation projects, especially now that you have all the time in the world due to the COVID-19 stay-at-home order. Now is the perfect time to transform your home all by yourself!

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13 Montreal Apartments For Rent That Have Breathtaking Outdoor Spaces

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With Quebec’s moving day just around the corner, many people are starting to look for a new property to rent. And, now that Montreal real estate activity is back in action, you can start trying to find the perfect space again. And, if you ask me, an apartment that comes with outdoor space is a must when living in the city.

From balconies to shared rooftop spaces, we’re all looking for a place where we can be outdoors. 

Now, more than ever, fresh air is something that we’re all craving. And, with summer coming faster than we think, finding a place with access to the outside is on so many of our checklists. 

Luckily for you, we at MTL Blog have made your job very easy and have gone through listings throughout the city to showcase some of the best rentals, all of which have outdoor spaces. 

Some of these properties offer private balconies while others have surreal rooftops you get access to. Regardless of which one you fall in love with, you’ll be sure to have a summer to remember living in any apartment on this list. 

Get ready for moving day because after looking at these properties, you’re going to be ready to pack your belongings.

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Montreal real-estate market hit hard by pandemic

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Like many industries affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, the red-hot Montreal real-estate market has suddenly chilled.

After 61 consecutive months of increases, the Montreal Census Metropolitan Area reported a 68-per-cent decrease in residential sales transactions in April 2020 compared with the year-earlier period, according to the Quebec Professional Association of Real Estate Brokers.

The most recent residential real-estate market statistics for the Montreal area showed 1,890 residential sales transactions were concluded last month. Those figures are based on the real-estate brokers’ Centris provincial database.

Montreal has been hit harder than other Canadian cities by the pandemic, and the drop in sales was seen in all six main areas of the Montreal CMA.

The drop in sales applied to all three property categories. Single-family home sales fell 68 per cent (1,048 transactions): plex sales dropped 67 per cent (161 transactions); and condominium sales tumbled 69 per cent (675 transactions).

Despite the drop in sales, real-estate prices rose in the CMA. The median price of single-family homes increased by nine per cent to reach $360,000, while the median price of condominiums climbed 12 per cent to $289,900.

Compared with April 2019, the median price of plexes (two to five dwellings) increased 10 per cent to $595,000.

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