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Why Rachel Notley’s refinery pitch won’t solve the oilpatch’s problem

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Considering the recent oil price crash in Western Canada and the fact a provincial election is expected in the spring, the Alberta government is trying to pull out all the stops to lift the oilpatch out of the doldrums​.

Buying railway oil tank cars, subsidizing petrochemical plants and mandating oil production cuts are some of the NDP’s moves to spur activity in the industry or to increase oil prices.

Those moves have all received relatively strong support. 

But the government’s latest announcement aimed at aiding the industry, to look at building a new refinery in Alberta, is being met with significant skepticism. 

The Alberta government is issuing a request for expressions of interest from the private sector to build a refinery in the province that would use oil extracted here.

Experts say Alberta already has more refinery capacity than it needs and the biggest problem facing the province’s oilpatch remains unsolved — a lack of export pipeline space.

“It sounds, if I may be so blunt, like a little bit of desperation,” said Roger McKnight, chief petroleum analyst with En-Pro International.

“What is the market? Where is it going? How does it get out of the country?”

The only refinery to be built in Alberta in the past 30 years was the North West Sturgeon Upgrader, north of Edmonton, which was constructed with help from the Alberta government. The refinery’s price tag swelled from an estimate of $5.7 billion in 2013 to $9.5 billion. The facility has also faced criticism for only processing up to 50,000 barrels per day and only producing diesel, of which there is already ample supply in the province.

“It’s hard to be polite here. That’s an awful lot of money for very little return,” McKnight said. “I think it was a bit of a mistake.”

The Alberta government argues a new refinery would create jobs and create more wealth for the province by exporting a higher-value product. The Sturgeon refinery employed 8,000 people during construction and will employ around 400 full-time workers when it ramps up to full capacity.

The last refinery to be built in Alberta was the North West Sturgeon Upgrader, which was over-budget and delayed. It’s not yet operating at full capacity. (CBC)

Ian MacGregor, chairman of North West Refining, which is part-owner of the Sturgeon facility, says more refineries is exactly what Alberta needs. 

“I believe that refining is the future,” he said. “What we have to start doing is we got to quit selling raw material. We’ve got to sell finished goods.”

Constructing a refinery would likely take between five and 10 years, according to experts. Alberta has five refineries with a total capacity of more than 475 million barrels per day. The province has the largest refining capacity in the country, amounting to about 25 per cent of Canada’s total processing volume.

Calgary-based petroleum industry analyst Michael Ervin doesn’t expect there will be much interest from industry to build a new refinery in Alberta without a sizeable subsidy.

“I doubt that the private sector will really see a business case for this unless the Alberta government was willing to ante up close to the entire cost of building a refinery,” said Ervin, who estimates the cost of constructing a typical refinery at around $15 billion.

Considering the long-term trend of more electric vehicles on the road, Ervin said the business case for a new refinery “just doesn’t seem to be there.”

‘A wish and a dream’

Duane Bratt, a political scientist at Mount Royal University in Calgary, sees Tuesday’s announcement as pre-election rhetoric, much different from more recent actions targeting Alberta’s oil price woes.

“Whether that’s convincing the feds to buy Trans Mountain, or announcing the rail car purchase, or the curtailment of oil production — those are actually concrete things that have happened,” Bratt said. “[The refinery] is just a wish and a dream.”

The NDP has long favoured constructing more refineries in the province and did campaign on the issue during the last election.

If you were looking at investments you could make as a government in industries that are labour intensive, refining would be way at the bottom of that list.– Andrew Leach, University of Alberta

Submissions from the private sector will be accepted until Feb. 8. Depending on interest, the government may issue a formal request for proposals.

Refineries are often built near high-demand centres and also where labour and construction costs are relatively low, such as in parts of the U.S. and overseas.

University of Alberta economist Andrew Leach said there aren’t many details about how committed the government is to seeing a refinery built, or how the proposals would be evaluated.

“So, first pass, certainly nervous about it and not enough detail yet to tell you exactly why,” Leach said of the announcement.

Not enough jobs 

But if one of the big arguments for building the facility is jobs, that’s not enough, Leach said.

“If you were looking at investments you could make as a government in industries that are labour intensive, refining would be way at the bottom of that list,” Leach said.

Why Rachel Notley’s Alberta NDP is still considering building an oil refinery

Leach said there’s also the economic question of whether the financial return from refining is worth it.

“And the distinction there is, are we creating a product that’s more expensive enough to justify all of the labour and capital we’d have to put in to do it?

“And for the most part, in Alberta, the answer has been ‘no’ for a lot of the previous decades, which is why the commercial interest isn’t there.”

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The cost of renovating your bathroom in Toronto in 2021

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Home renovations can be a big task, especially bathroom renovations where you have to work with either an awkwardly shaped space, or one with lots of pipework and very little natural light.

Nonetheless, getting a bathroom renovation by Easy Renovation to change your existing bathroom layout, improve the ambience or add more natural skylights can be worth all the trouble. But determining how much a bathroom renovation would cost is important while setting a budget.

The pandemic has changed a lot of things with social distancing rules, working from home, and for some, being made redundant. Therefore, having a complete grasp of the financial implication of a bathroom innovation is very important.

Owning your dream bathroom can be made a reality and the good thing is, regardless of your financial situation, there are always available options. If you also decide to put up your property for sale in the future, a bathroom upgrade would be a great investment—as it would add significant value to the property. Your bathroom renovation project, like every home renovation, can either be very affordable or extravagant, but one thing is certain, you’re bound to have a more refreshed, stylish and modernistic space.  

Looking through detailed sketches of luxurious and expensive bathrooms can be quite tempting, especially when you’re on a budget. However, your bathroom can be equally transformed into something that looks just as modern, stylish and refreshing but without the heavy price tag.

Conducting a partial bathroom renovation means you only have to change a little part of your existing bathroom rather than tearing it down and starting from scratch. If you intend to carry out this type of bathroom renovation in Toronto, depending on the size of your bathroom, you can spend between $1,000 – $5,000. With a partial bathroom renovation, you can save money by tackling smaller problems that exist in your present bathroom—or you can just upgrade a few of its features.

Partial bathroom renovations are quite affordable and would leave your bathroom feeling new and stylish without being time-consuming or a financial burden—which is important considering the economic impact of the pandemic. Repainting the bathroom walls, replacing the tiles on the floor and in the shower area are examples of partial bathroom renovations which is the cheapest to accomplish.

A more expensive and popular bathroom renovation is the standard 3- or 4-piece renovation. This renovation type involves a lot more services that are not covered by a partial renovation budget. To execute a standard bathroom renovation in Toronto you need a budget of about $10,000 – $15,000.

Unlike with a partial renovation, you would have to make a lot more changes to various elements of your bathroom without the hassle of changing the overall design. You can easily restore your current bathroom into a modernistic and classy space that fits your existing style. Making changes to more aspects of your bathroom is quite easy since there is more room in your budget to accommodate it.

A standard 3- or 4-piece renovation includes everything in a partial renovation plus extras such as revamped baseboards, installing a new bathroom mirror, buying new lights, installing a new vanity, changing the toilet, and buying new shower fixtures.

If you’re one of those looking to make a complete overhaul of your existing bathroom, then the option of a complete bathroom remodel is for you.

Unlike a bathroom renovation, remodelling means a complete change of your current bathroom design and layout for one that is newer and completely unrecognizable. The possibilities when remodelling a bathroom are endless especially when you have a large budget of over $15,000. That way, you can get the opportunity to create the perfect bathroom for yourself.

In addition to all that’s available with a standard bathroom renovation, bathroom remodelling allows you to make bathtub to shower conversion, relocation of plumbing, relocation of the toilet, reframing the bathroom and even relocating the shower.

In conclusion, a bathroom renovation can be a very important upgrade to your home and depending on the features that you decide to include, in addition to the size of your bathroom, this would influence the total cost of the project.

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7 Tips For First-Time Home Buyers In Calgary

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Buying a house for the first time can be overwhelming to say the least. If you’re wondering what neighbourhood to go with, what you can afford, or even how to just get started on the process, let us take some stress off your hands! We’ve teamed up with Hopewell Residential to give you 7 tips to ensure the home you end up with is everything you dreamed of.

Hopewell Residential is a five-time Developer of the Year award winner, so their expertise is second-to-none in Calgary and beyond. Who better to learn home-buying tips from than the homebuilders themselves?

Create a checklist of needs & wants

This is a biggie. When you’re buying your very first home, you’ll want to weigh your needs vs. your wants. Ensuring you have what you love in your first home is a big, big deal.

What should you do? Easy. Set up a list of needs and a list of wants, but be pretty strict with yourself, and make sure you take your lifestyle into consideration. With the increase in remote work over the past year, it’s important to keep in mind that a home office or flex room might just be the key to maximizing at home happiness. Especially if you’re thinking you might be expanding your family later on, spare rooms and extra space is key (but more on that later!).

Or for instance, you might need a home in an area with a high walkability score, but you want to be close to certain amenities. Set yourself up with the right level of compromise and the number of homes that actually fit your ‘perfect’ idea will skyrocket.

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‘Don’t give up’: Ottawa Valley realtors share statistics, tips for homebuyers in ‘extreme’ sellers market

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The real estate market in the Ottawa Valley can be summed up this way: people from far and wide are in a buying frenzy, but there’s hardly anything to buy at the “store,” and the limited inventory is overpriced.

This “stampede” — as one realtor described it — will affect rural towns as residents grapple with finding affordable housing and agonize over their inability to purchase homes in their price range.

“We are seeing a lack of inventory in all price ranges,” said Laura Keller, a real estate agent from Carleton Place.

Helen Vincent, a Renfrew realtor, said she’s never seen a market like this in her 36 years of practice. “We postpone offers for four to five days in order to get all the buyers,” she said.

Multiple offers — between seven and 10 — became the norm, with cash offers and no conditions, as buyers faced bidding wars. “In Ottawa, they have up to 50 (offers),” she added.

“It’s very stressful. You’re going to get nine (people) ticked off, and one happy. So many people are disappointed,” Vincent said.

Terry Stavenow, an Arnprior realtor for 40 years, said that “the pent-up need took over with inventory going low. It made a stampede on everything that was available.“

“Brand new housing — it’s very much gone. Several building developers are rushing to get inventory. They usually don’t do construction in the winter months,” said Stavenow.

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